The rules-based order is being rewritten

The rules-based order no longer breaks in a single moment. It erodes through reinterpretation, as audiences reinterpret systems actively, not passively.

The system assumed shared interests, enforcement, and interpretation. All three now fragment. Luntz’s insight explains the shift: control over meaning matters as much as control over rules.

We now see rule redefinition, not just rule violation.

Seth Godin’s idea of permission applies: legitimacy is earned continuously, not inherited. Trevor Morris highlights narrative coherence as the foundation of institutional authority. Without it, systems become procedural shells.

The order still exists formally, but actors engage selectively. Compliance becomes situational. We are not witnessing collapse. We are witnessing fragmentation and selective participation.

Rules now function as tools of strategy, not fixed constraints.

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